PSG and RB Leipzig meet on matchday three of Group A in the Champions League with the race for qualification still impossible to call.
The return of the @ChampionsLeague🙏😄#PSGRBL pic.twitter.com/B40t5Uh3qU
— Paris Saint-Germain (@PSG_English) October 18, 2021
The Parisians have started the Ligue 1 campaign in tremendous fashion with nine wins from 10 games. That 2-0 loss to Rennes aside, there has been one area of some concern for Mauricio Pochettino. PSG have already conceded 12 goals in all competitions which has been overshadowed by their relentless attacking power.
Training today before #PSGRBL💪🏆 pic.twitter.com/lgmGdprBu8
— Paris Saint-Germain (@PSG_English) October 18, 2021
Nevertheless, the defence has work to do in order to not concede cheaply as the season goes on. Up front, the trio of Lionel Messi, Neymar, and Kylian Mbappe have not featured as regularly as the team would have wanted. But the Frenchman is still their top scorer and Messi scored his first goal for the club against Manchester City in the last match.
When the boss joins in ⚽
🔴⚪ #WeAreLeipzig #PSGRBL pic.twitter.com/I6aXJsYXT9
— RB Leipzig English (@RBLeipzig_EN) October 18, 2021
In contrast to their opponents, it has been a fairly subdued season so far for Leipzig under new manager Jesse Marsch. Last year’s Bundesliga runners-up currently sit 8th in the league with just three wins from eight matches. Their three losses is the joint-most in the top half of the table and the departures of key personnel certainly has not helped.
🗣️ @jessemarsch and @NordiMukiele spoke to the media ahead of #PSGRBL: #Marsch: "The situation in our group is simple: we need points. PSG are a great side with perhaps the best attack in the world."
🔴⚪ #WeAreLeipzig pic.twitter.com/Y00qVzmyAL
— RB Leipzig English (@RBLeipzig_EN) October 18, 2021
The acquisitions of young talent in Ilaix Moriba, Andre Silva and others is still taking time to show their true potential. Silva in particular has been disappointing, with just two goals and two assists so far. However, Die Roten Bullen know that the time to save their Champions League hopes is now. Leipzig have suffered two defeats on the trot, shipping eight goals. A failure to win in France will certainly leave them staring at the barrel of elimination.
TEAM NEWS
Pochettino confirmed that Neymar is set to miss out while Sergio Ramos remains sidelined as well. Angel Di Maria is suspended and Keylor Navas is also expected to play no part.
Medical update ahead of #PSGRBL 📍@Aspetar
— Paris Saint-Germain (@PSG_English) October 18, 2021
PROBABLE LINE-UP: Donnarumma; Hakimi, Marquinhos, Kimpembe, Mendes; Herrera, Gueye, Verratti; Messi, Mbappe, Draxler
Brian Brobbey, Marcel Halstenberg, and Dani Olmo are the absentees for the German side while the current form of Christopher Nkunku will be a big plus.
Final preparations 🔥
ℹ️ @daniolmo7, Brian #Brobbey and Marcel #Halstenberg are sidelined, but everyone else will travel 🛫
🔴⚪ #WeAreLeipzig #PSGRBL pic.twitter.com/Al2WWkVieK
— RB Leipzig English (@RBLeipzig_EN) October 18, 2021
PROBABLE LINE-UP: Gulacsi; Orban, Simakan, Klostermann; Mukiele, Laimer, Kampl, Angelino; Forsberg, Nkunku; Silva
GAMECHANGERS
With Mbappe being in fine form in front of goal, another surprising source of goals has gone a bit under the radar. Herrera has already scored four times and assisted twice in all competitions, as he is on par to make this his most productive campaign since his early years in England. The midfielder has also been excelling at his primary job as evidenced by his game play so far.
Ander Herrera for PSG this season:
🤝 6 matches
⚽️ 4 goals
🎯 2 assists#UCL pic.twitter.com/QCZ31oICS0— Football Tweet ⚽ (@Football__Tweet) September 15, 2021
93% passing accuracy, 50% tackles success rate and 80% dribbles success rate along with 14 big chances created. Herrera’s blistering start has forced Gini Wijnaldum to spend more time on the bench than the Dutchman would have liked but Leipzig will be well aware of his threat.
😂 Ander Herrera and Idrissa Gueye have combined for more league and UCL goals (7) for Paris Saint-Germain this season than Leo Messi, Kylian Mbappe, Neymar and Angel Di Maria (6) #UCL pic.twitter.com/OD556R3sjf
— WhoScored.com (@WhoScored) September 28, 2021
Herrera has been getting forward continuously in dangerous positions along with playing supreme passes to the strikers. Leipzig’s defensive side has not been the greatest which will benefit Herrera in linking up with Marco Verratti as well.
10 appearances
9 goals
2 assists15 key passes
32 Shot creating actions
8 goal creating actionsChristopher Nkunku is on his way pic.twitter.com/hhxq8DNvl9
— The Tactical Times (@Tactical_Times) October 12, 2021
Coming to Leipzig, they too are getting a bulk of their goals from a player not many would expect. Eight goals and an assist in league and Europe for Nkunku has seen him emerge as the primary threat for opponents. Marsch has been using the Frenchman in a much more advanced role, giving him positional freedom to play off the main striker. What has also improved is Nkunku’s shooting accuracy (71% on target) and a 76% dribble success rate.
🇫🇷 Christopher Nkunku (23) v. Manchester City:
☑️ 81 minutes
⚽️ 3 goals
🚀 3 shots
🎯 16/18 passes completedDid everything he possibly could.
Normally, one would get to be happy with a Champions League hattrick! 🎩 pic.twitter.com/ekfFlGV0oG
— Football Wonderkids (@fbwonderkids) September 15, 2021
With Leipzig playing a four man midfield in behind Nkunku, he does not have to worry about tracking back too often either. That bodes well against PSG whose fullbacks play very high up the pitch and leave the centre-backs vulnerable. His precision from set-pieces will also come in handy if they are able to win fouls in dangerous areas of the pitch.
PREDICTIONS
PSG enter the match as heavy favourites given their track record so far in combination with Leipzig’s sketchy form. Even without one of their star players, the French outfit should have enough firepower to win as it will take something special for Marsch and co. to pull off an upset away from home. FootTheBall predicts a 2-0 win for PSG on the night.